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Who Will Win ICC World Cup Final 2011?????????????????????

After the team's showing in the semi-final victory over Pakistan, Sumeet Anand is sure India will beat Sri Lanka in the final and emerge triumphant.                                         

Yesterday's match has convinced me that this World Cup is ours, or let's say it's meant for giving the most desired offering to the "God of Cricket" -- Tendulkar, something I am sure he will agree matters more to him than getting even the Bharat Ratna.

The semi-final was amazing and had every hint that the two divine umpires "Bhagwan and Allah" mutually decided that India will win and it won't be a one-sided affair; that's the reason, why Sehwag was stopped from making it a one-sided match and they gave the strength and resolve to a rather inexperienced and new born Pakistani team to rise to the occasion and put up a great fight.

- World Cup coverage

So here I am again following up my previous post on the semi-finals 'Indo-Pak WC semi-final: the emotional graph' with this one describing why and how India will win this World Cup.

Law of averages

The law prevailed and Yuvi went back on a duck on his home ground.? The Indian team is already performing as per the law and almost all batsmen and bowlers had their good and bad days whereas the Sri Lankan team has predominantly won all their matches on the performance of their openers or rather the first four batsmen and hardly any win came under pressure.

- India scores a 5 out of 5 against Pak in WC

So now, in the final, the law will take over and they are not going to do as well, this is what India wants most.

On the Indian side, the not so good performers till now, including Dhoni [ Images ], Virat and Yusuf (he may play, as Gautam Gambhir [ Images ] got injured in the semi-final and may not be fit enough) are going to rise to the occasion and put up a great show.

Peaking at the right time, gaps filled

India has consistently won all their matches under pressure and from a position where it seemed they may lose. It was always due to overall team performance and someone or the other chipping in at the right time to make India win. With the semi-final clash, the last remaining gaps in terms of weak/inconsistent bowling, performing badly in batting powerplays, and average fielding are all filled and now there is no doubt that this team's biggest strength is that it plays as a team and knows how to handle pressure in big games and come out victorious from seemingly desperate situations.

Defying statistics

Statistics are there to change and Dhoni's men have proved it that stats don't matter; what matters is how you play on a given day. That's why for the first time we are going to have an all-Asian final, a final where both captains are wicketkeepers and no host team has ever won the World Cup.? All of this is going to change with this final, as it is sure that a host team will win, but India's chances are higher, as they are the main hosts of the event.

Max support and wishes

With Pakistan and Bangladesh both out of the tournament, naturally maximum fan support will be for India and almost all of them would love to see Tendulkar holding the Cup, a sight they will remember forever.?

Luck

One thing that came out clearly from the Indo-Pak semi-final is that the master blaster is having all the luck on his side, the five lives he got is there to prove that even the Almighty is leaving no stone unturned to make sure India wins it.?

- Images: India sends Pak packing in Mohali

Sri Lanka played all their games at home (except one, vs New Zealand @ Mumbai, so now playing at Mumbai, and that also the final, may make things difficult for them.? Moreover, Indians will be determined to take revenge of the 1996 semi-final loss to them at Calcutta.

Moreover, despite the odds faced by Dhoni and team during the various previous matches due to wrong decisions, selecting wrong players in the team at times, applying wrong strategies etc, luck favoured and they came out victorious.

Having said that, it didn't favour them just like that; they showed an awesome fighting spirit as a team and we all know luck favours the brave, so it will do so in the final too and will make India win.

Punters

Punters have pronounced India as the winners already and it seems it will be so as this team is totally clean and no one player can change the result by doing spot-fixing; moreover no Indian player will dare their career by doing any sort of fixing in the final.?

So punters cannot make more money if India wins; they can only make a fortune if Sri Lanka wins and you cannot fix a win; you can only buy players to intentionally lose. So they have no incentive in spot-fixing anything with the Sri Lankans as it will only make India win, a result that is going to make them lose more money.

                                      

How India will win: The divine plan

Now the most interesting part, people just love predicting, so let me try out too. I'll share what my intuition says. I think, it will be a perfect setting for Tendulkar to complete his 100 international centuries on his home ground and in a World Cup final, but given the jinx that mostly when Tendulkar scores a century, India ends up losing, so the only way it can happen is…India will bat second and chase a target, the master blaster will be able to get the highest resolve to remove this jinx by not just scoring a hundred but a big one (with no extra lives), in which he bats till the end and ensures India wins. So that's how most likely it will be.?

If India bats first, then most likely Tendulkar will be out for a score of between 50-90 and the rest of the disciples of the 'God of Cricket', the likes of Yuvi, Dhoni and the rest, will rise to the occasion and put up a fighting total for Sri Lanka to chase.?

In the semi-final, a perfect two wickets each by all key bowlers is an indication that bowling is no more an issue and our bowlers will be able to defend any total that the batsmen end up putting.

Let's hope for a dream Saturday, April 2, 2011, when the whole nation will be praying and waiting to watch the happiest ending ever, like in a Bollywood movie (always predictable) of seeing their 'God of Cricket' holding the World Cup with a smile they have never seen before a sight every cricket fan, especially Indians, will take pride, watching live and cherish for generations to come!

Perfect Trading Tips

• Do not overtrade.
  
• Do not trade on rumors.
  
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• Trade with the trends rather than trying to pick tops and bottoms.

• As long as a market is acting right, don't rush to take profits.

• Don't buy something because it is low priced.

• Money cannot be made everyday from the markets.

• Avoid making average, when stock is coming down.

• Don't watch or trade too many stocks at once.

IndiaV/s Australia

Finally world will have new Cricket World Champions on 2^nd of April 2011 after a decade with India beating Australia in a quite remarkable game of cricket. That means three times consecutive world champion will now have to fly back home after a loss in the 2^nd quarterfinal at Motera.

The super star of the day was a man “Yuvraj Singh” who looked in fine tough right from the word go, he first bowled really well and picked up two crucial wickets and then came out all guns blazing hitting Australian fat and furious bowling attack all around the park. Yuvraj Singh scored an unbeaten 57 runs and put on a winning partnership of 74 runs for the sixth wicket with Suresh Raina (34* runs off 28 balls) to get India over finishing line and meet Pakistan in the 2^ndth of March 2011. Semi Final of ICC World Cup 2011 on 30

The Australians, who broke the Indian hearts in 2003, had theirs in two pieces on Thursday as India shut the door on the 'former' World Champions to stand just two steps away from their destination at the Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai, holding aloft the World Cup trophy on April 2.

The situation could have been different if Suresh Raina and Yuvraj Singh got out at the stage where India still needed 74 runs to win in last 13 overs of play. Motera stadium crowd stunned in to the silence when M.S.Dhoni caught brilliantly by M.Clark at point on bowling of Brett Lee in the 38^th over.

In the run chase during 31^st over to 34^h over, Indians tried hard to choke again. With Gautam Gambhir giving Australians as many as three chances to run him out but Australian didn’t capitalize on it. But finally in the 34^th over Gambhir manage to get himself out but not before scoring a superb fluent 50 runs off 64 balls. He ran for a non-existent run after Yuvraj Singh had played the ball towards midwicket but Ponting missed the sticks just by whisker. In the next over, he got into a yes-and-no situation with Yuvraj Singh and would have been run out had Brad Haddin thrown the ball at the non-striker's end. Gautam Gambhir was run out next ball, again running mindlessly after Yuvraj stabbed David Hussey wide delivery just couple of steps away from the Cameron White standing at first slip but this time White able to throw at correct end and Gambhir found more than a feet short from the crease.

Chasing the target of 261 for win India got off to great start by both Sachin Tendulkar (53 runs) and Virendra Sehwag (15 runs). Both put on 44 runs for the first wicket before Sehwag miscuite a pull straight in the air in the 9^th over. However Sachin Tendulkar kept his cool to reach his 93^rd ODI fifty and in between he crossed 18000 run marks.

Earlier Australia Captain Ricky Ponting scored a superb hundreds to guide his team to get to 260 runs in the 50 overs. This was Ricky Ponting 5^th World Cup hundred and 29^th in ODI. Brad Haddin (53 runs) and David Hussey (38 runs) also provided good support to his captain to guide Australia to a competitive total.

With this win now India will take on Pakistan in the 2^nd Semi Final of World Cup at Mohali on 30^th of March 2011.

Yuvraj Singh was declared Player of the Match for his all-round effort. First with ball he picked up two wickets and then made unbeaten 57 runs off 65 balls.

Match Summary (India Won by 5 Wickets)

Australia Inning– 260/6 in 50 Overs

R.Ponting- 104 B.Haddin – 53

Yuvraj Singh– 10-0-44-2 R.Ashwin- 10-0-52-2

India Inning– 261/5 in 47.4 Overs

Yuvraj Singh- 57* S.Tendulkar–53

S.Watson– 7-0-37-1 B.Lee- 8.4-1-45-1

Sensex choppy; Infosys, TCS, Reliance slip

The benchmark Nifty was trading with moderate losses amid volatility at 10:41 hours, dragged down by oil & gas, technology, Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group (ADAG), power and realty companies' shares. Ranbaxy, SBI and ICICI Bank too were down. Rising oil prices could be weighed on the markets today; Brent crude was inching closer to USD 116 a barrel.
Crude prices may be buoyant till Libyan tensions continue, says Praveen Kumar of Facts Global Energy. Nymex crude was trading at USD 102.92 a barrel, up 1.83% and London Brent crude jumped 1.17% to USD 115.65 a barrel.
Casey Research sees lot of speculation in crude oil market. "Crude oil can hit USD 150-155/barrel if tensions escalate. Crude oil production is insignificant in Libya."
Praveen Kumar expects prices to cool down once MENA tensions subside. Facts Global said, "Saudi Arabia has already ramped up production, which was up from 8 million to 9.2 million barrels per day. This ramp up covers Libyan decline.
James Paulsen from Wells Capital Management feels that despite losing spark due to tensions in the Middle East, emerging markets have showed better-than-expected recovery results. “Emerging markets are clearly the economic leaders in the globe and US investors should use this opportunity and buy in emerging markets when they are relatively underperforming,” he said.
The 30-share BSE Sensex was trading at 17,820, down 58 points and the 50-share NSE Nifty fell 17 points to 5,356. The broader indices too were quite volatile.
However, steel, capital goods and select auto companies' shares were supporting the markets to cut down losses. HDFC, HDFC Bank and Sun Pharma were too on buyers' radar.

Japan's disaster toll rises with 18,000 deaths

Toll in Japan's triple disaster climbs: an estimated 18,000 deaths, $235 billion to rebuild 

 

FUKUSHIMA, Japan (AP) -- The toll of Japan's triple disaster came into clearer focus Monday after police estimates showed more than 18,000 people died, the World Bank said rebuilding may cost $235 billion and more cases of radiation-tainted vegetables and tap water turned up.
Japanese officials reported progress over the weekend in their battle to gain control over a nuclear complex that began leaking radiation after suffering quake and tsunami damage, though the crisis was far from over, with a dangerous new surge in pressure reported in one of the plant's six reactors.
The announcement by Japan's Health Ministry late Sunday that tests had detected excess amounts of radioactive elements on canola and chrysanthemum greens marked a low moment in a day that had been peppered with bits of positive news: First, a teenager and his grandmother were found alive nine days after being trapped in their earthquake-shattered home. Then, the operator of the overheated nuclear plant said two of the six reactor units were safely cooled down.
"We consider that now we have come to a situation where we are very close to getting the situation under control," Deputy Cabinet Secretary Tetsuro Fukuyama said.
Still, serious problems remained at the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear complex. Pressure unexpectedly rose in a third unit's reactor, meaning plant operators may need to deliberately release radioactive steam. That has only added to public anxiety over radiation that began leaking from the plant after a monstrous earthquake and tsunami devastated northeastern Japan on March 11 and left the plant unstable. As day broke Monday, Japan's military resumed dousing of the complex's troubled Unit 4.
The World Bank said in report Monday that Japan may need five years to rebuild from the catastrophic disasters, which caused up to $235 billion in damage, saying the cost to private insurers will be up to $33 billion and that the government will spend $12 billion on reconstruction in the current national budget and much more later.
The safety of food and water was of particular concern. The government halted shipments of spinach from one area and raw milk from another near the nuclear plant after tests found iodine exceeded safety limits. Tokyo's tap water, where iodine turned up Friday, now has cesium. Rain and dust are also tainted.
Early Monday , the Health Ministry advised Iitate, a village of 6,000 people about 30 kilometers (19 miles) northwest of the Fukushima plant, not to drink tap water due to elevated levels of iodine. Ministry spokesman Takayuki Matsuda said iodine three times the normal level was detected there -- about one twenty-sixth of the level of a chest X-ray in one liter of water.
In all cases, the government said the radiation levels were too small to pose an immediate health risk.
But Tsugumi Hasegawa was skeptical as she cared for her 4-year-old daughter at a shelter in a gymnasium crammed with 1,400 people about 80 kilometers (50 miles) from the plant.
"I still have no idea what the numbers they are giving about radiation levels mean. It's all so confusing," said Hasegawa, 29, from the small town of Futuba in the shadow of the nuclear complex. "And I wonder if they aren't playing down the dangers to keep us from panicking. I don't know who to trust."
All six of the nuclear complex's reactor units saw trouble after the disasters knocked out cooling systems. In a small advance, the plant's operator declared Units 5 and 6 -- the least troublesome -- under control after their nuclear fuel storage pools cooled to safe levels. Progress was made to reconnect two other units to the electric grid and in pumping seawater to cool another reactor and replenish it and a sixth reactor's storage pools.
But the buildup in pressure inside the vessel holding Unit 3's reactor presented some danger, forcing officials to consider venting. The tactic produced explosions of radioactive gas during the early days of the crisis.
"Even if certain things go smoothly, there would be twists and turns," Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano told reporters. "At the moment, we are not so optimistic that there will be a breakthrough."
Growing concerns about radiation add to the overwhelming chain of disasters Japan has struggled with since the 9.0-magnitude quake. The resulting tsunami ravaged the northeastern coast. All told, police estimates show more than about 18,400 died. More than 15,000 deaths are likely in Miyagi, the prefecture that took the full impact of the wave, said a police spokesman.
"It is very distressing as we recover more bodies day by days," said Hitoshi Sugawara, the spokesman.
Police in other parts of the disaster area declined to provide estimates, but confirmed about 3,400 deaths. Nationwide, official figures show the disasters killing more than 8,600 people, and leaving more than 12,800 people missing, but those two lists may have some overlap.
The disasters have displaced another 452,000, who are living in shelters.
Fuel, food and water remain scarce. The government in recent days acknowledged being caught ill-prepared by an enormous disaster that the prime minister has called the worst crisis since World War II.
Bodies are piling up in some of the devastated communities and badly decomposing even amid chilly rain and snow.
"The recent bodies -- we can't show them to the families. The faces have been purple, which means they are starting to decompose," says Shuji Horaguchi, a disaster relief official setting up a center to process the dead in Natori, on the outskirts of the tsunami-flattened city of Sendai. "Some we're finding now have been in the water for a long time, they're not in good shape. Crabs and fish have eaten parts."
Contamination of food and water compounds the government's difficulties, heightening the broader public's sense of dread about safety. Consumers in markets snapped up bottled water, shunned spinach from Ibaraki -- the prefecture where the tainted spinach was found -- and overall expressed concern about food safety.
Experts have said the amounts of iodine detected in milk, spinach and water pose no discernible risks to public health unless consumed in enormous quantities over a long time. Iodine breaks down quickly, after eight days, minimizing its harmfulness, unlike other radioactive isotopes such as cesium-137 or uranium-238, which remain in the environment for decades or longer.
High levels of iodine are linked to thyroid cancer, one of the least deadly cancers if treated. Cesium is a longer-lasting element that affects the whole body and raises cancer risk.
Rain forecast for the Fukushima area also could further localize the contamination, bringing the radiation to the ground closer to the plant.
Edano tried to reassure the public for a second day in a row. "If you eat it once, or twice, or even for several days, it's not just that it's not an immediate threat to health, it's that even in the future it is not a risk," Edano said. "Experts say there is no threat to human health."
No contamination has been reported in Japan's main food export -- seafood -- worth about $1.6 billion a year and less than 0.3 percent of its total exports.
Amid the anxiety, there were moments of joy on Sunday. An 80-year-old woman and her teenage grandson were rescued from their flattened two-story house after nine days, when the teen pulled himself to the roof and shouted to police for help.
Other survivors enjoyed smaller victories. Kiyoshi Hiratsuka and his family managed to pull his beloved Harley Davidson motorcycle from the rubble in their hometown of Onagawa. The 37-year-old mechanic said he knows it will never work anymore. "But I want to keep it as a memorial."
Yamaguchi reported from Tokyo, as did Associated Press writers Elaine Kurtenbach, Kelly Olsen, Charles Hutzler and Jeff Donn. Associated Press writer Jay Alabaster contributed from Natori, Japan.

Libya declared a ceasefire in the country to protect civilians and comply with a United Nations resolution passed overnight, Libyan Foreign Minister Moussa Koussa said on Friday.
"We decided on an immediate ceasefire and on an immediate stop to all military operations," he told reporters.
"(Libya) takes great interest in protecting civilians," he said, adding that the country would also protect all foreigners and foreign assets in Libya.
Oil prices fell on Friday after the Libyan foreign minister said Libya would halt all military action and accepted a UN resolution for an immediate ceasefire.
Brent crude was trading 92 cents lower at $113.98 by 1318 GMT, off a session high of $117.29 and up from the day's low of $113.07. US crude shed 59 cents to $100.83.
The announcement followed a United Nations meeting on Thursday in which the security council authorised Western-led military intervention against Muammar Gaddafi who had vowed to crush a rebel uprising in the country.
The UN also authorised "all necessary measures" code for military action to protect civilians against Gaddafi's forces.
Oil markets had risen to their highest in more than a week following the UN resolution and, although the ceasefire triggered a sell-off, analysts noted the situation was still complex.
"This does not mean we near a resolution of the situation in Libya. We may be facing the possibility of an entrenched status quo between pro and anti Gaddafi groups," said Harry Tchilinguirian, analyst at BNP Paribas.
"This only maintains the uncertainty in terms of when we will eventually have a full resumption of production in Libya."
Libya pumped 1.6 million barrels per day (bpd) of sweet, light crude before violent unrest broke out earlier this year.
Bahrain, Saudi
The situation was also still volatile in Bahrain, where earlier this week the authorities cracked down on Shi'ite protesters demanding reform by the Sunni monarchy, drawing criticism from the United States and Iran.
Sunni-ruled ally Saudi Arabia, OPEC's largest oil producer, has sent troops into Bahrain, together with other forces from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC).
As it monitors unrest in its oil-producing east, home to its Shi'ite minority, Saudi Arabia on Friday announced billions of dollars in handouts for its people and boosted its security apparatus.
Japan Disaster
Concern about unrest in the Middle East drove oil prices to a two and a half year high of nearly $120 last month, but they lost some of their strength after Japan's strongest earthquake on record a week ago.
The resulting nuclear crisis sent risk-averse sentiment coursing through global financial markets.
Engineers said on Friday burying a crippled nuclear plant in sand and concrete might be the only way to prevent a catastrophic radiation release, the method used to seal huge leakages from Chernobyl in 1986.
Edward Meir, senior commodities analyst at brokers MF Global, said oil prices had risen too far considering the loss of demand from Japan, the world's third largest economy and third biggest oil consumer after the United States and China.
The extended paralysis with regard to the nuclear issue and the colossal damage sustained in the rest of the country, suggests that Japan will be partially absent from the oil markets for some time to come," he said.

See Nifty one year Call Revised Stop Loss

Nifty one year call revised stoploss

stop loss   5127

Policy preview: What experts expect RBI to do tomorrow

Surging cost of onions, tomatoes and edible oil have driven food prices up significantly since the last quarterly meet of the RBI in early November. The central bank has raised its key rates six times since March of last year in a bid to tame prices and is expected to tighten further tomorrow at its quarterly monetary review. Petrol prices have also risen sharply in the meantime with state-owned oil companies raising prices by Rs 2.50-2.54 per litre.
The government about 10 days back, reiterated its intention to rein-in prices and said that it will ease import restrictions, impose export controls, and intensify purchase of essential commodities as it has come under fire from the opposition on rising food prices.

What will the RBI do tomorrow as it battles with inflation still on its mind?
In an interview with CNBC-TV18, Anant Narayan, MD - Regional Head of fixed Income & Currency Trading - South Asia, Standard Chartered Bank, & Taimur Baig, Chief Economist - India Global Markets Research, Deutsche Bank AG gave their expectations from the RBI's policy meet tomorrow.
Below is a verbatim transcript of the interview. Also watch the accompanying video.
Q: What is your own expectation? Do you suspect the Reserve Bank should do more than 0.25% or would do more than 0.25%?
Baig: I think they would do 25 basis points. It would be a positive surprise as far as I am concerned if they do 50 bps because that would mean that they are not that worried about the growth outlook and if anything they are putting inflation as a first priority. But again, this is what I think they should do.
But I think they would actually end up hiking by only 25 basis points. There are people within the RBI who are far more concerned about inflation than some others in the RBI. Now the question is between these group of advisors and analysts who at the end of the day has the sway. My reading from the RBI is that at the end of the day the calibrated approach to monetary policy will continue. So while I would like them to raise by 50 bps I fear or think they will still be very cautious and adjust to 25 bps.
Q: You think the market is beginning to start factoring in something more than 0.25%. Even the OIS rates, one year has gone up by 10 bps this morning.
Narayan: I think there is a growing factoring of the possibility that we see an action of beyond 25 basis points. Having said that, I still belong to the camp of 25-25 bps increase.
I think what one must keep in mind while clamouring for higher rates is that the real rates, when you look at certificates of deposits or CPs or even deposit rate for that matter are at very high levels currently. So it’s coming up to 9.75%.
Deposit rates in some sectors are about 10%. These dates are actually comparable to where these real rates were when repo rate was 9% way back in July 2008. So in that sense I think a lot of transmission is already happening. One could argue that the transmission will probably be better this time around than previously.
In that backdrop, I think possibly the necessity for a very strong hike in the reverse Repo is not really that high right now.
Q: You came out with a report on India living with USD 100 price of oil. Are you saying that we could see another 10% rise in petrol prices and 4% to 5% rise in diesel prices? If that were to happen, what could that do to WPI?
Baig: That will keep WPI around 8% through the course of the year. We have been, for a number of months, talking about this much expected base effect to act favourably as a downward drag on inflation. That will be countered fully, if indeed we saw fuel prices go up by another 10% and then diesel prices go up by another 5% or so.
If we have 8% inflation, over the course of the year, despite favourable base effect and hopefully, no further deterioration in the agricultural outlook that would certainly pave the way for the RBI to go on a tighter route. So another 75-100 basis points through the course of 2011 would have to be done at that point of time.
Q: If it is averaging 8% inflation or even maybe sub 8% so even 7-7.5% how does that leave you with your GDP forecast?
Baig: There are two things that we need to start worrying about. One is to an extent, fuel and food inflation spills over and the second one is that we have had about 300 basis points of effective rate hike already. Now, we and most other analysts are calling for another 75 to 100 basis point rate hikes for the course of 2011.
How can all this not have an impact on the investment cycle or on consumption that is dependent on the interest rate cycle? The answer is of course, there will be some casualty and I think, the authorities are more or less set up on that reality. They are not dreaming of this 9-10% growth trajectory.
I think they will be very happy if we end up FY11-12 with our 8.5% growth and inflation coming down to manageable level as oppose to growth going to 9% where inflation staying at 10%.

Target Hit

Target Hit for nifty call given by tuesday

IIP Growth was Bad or Good for Stock Market

NEW DELHI: Industrial growth nosedived to 2.7 per cent in November 2010 against 11.3 per cent in the same period a year-ago, pulled down by dismal performance of manufacturing sector, particularly the consumer non-durables.
In October 2010, the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) had expanded by 11.29 per cent.
The industrial growth during April-November of this fiscal stood at 9.5 per cent, against 7.4 per cent in the corresponding period last year, according to an official data released here on Wednesday.
In November, manufacturing growth plummeted to 2.3 per cent against 12.3 per cent a year ago.
The manufacturing consumer non-durables production declined by (-) 6 per cent in the month under review as against a growth of 2.3 per cent in the same period a year ago.
However, capital goods sector posted a growth of 12.6 per cent against 11 per cent in the same period last year.
Besides manufacturing, mining growth also fell to 6.0 per cent against 10.7 per cent in the month under review. Whereas, electricity generation expanded by 4.6 per cent against 1.8 per cent.
Finance minister Pranab Mukherjee on Wednesday said deceleration in industrial growth to 2.7 per cent in November and high inflation could have an adverse impact on the economy and promised to take corrective steps to push up factory output.
"If IIP goes down and inflation goes up, it will have an adverse impact, but I am not coming to any premature conclusion," Mukherjee told reporters.
"We shall have to look into and take corrective measures so that IIP numbers revive in the remaining four months," he said.
Even though part of the deceleration in growth may be because of high base effect of 11.3 per cent in November last year, the Finance minister refused to take it as a consolation.
"Last time, if you have noticed that in november last year it(IIP) was very high, so base effect is also there, but that is no consolation," he said.
With IIP slowing down considerably, the Reserve Bank of India may be in a dilemma on whether or not to raise its policy rates to fight high inflation at the upcoming quarter policy review on January 25.
Read more: Industrial growth plunges to 2.7% - The Times of India

Nifty Buy Call (free intraday tip)

For Tuesday 18-1-2011


Buy Nifty fut jan at                    (5630-5650)
Target -                                    (5740-5780)
Stop Loss                                          (5583)






It;s your own risk, i will not libel for any profit or loss 

Nifty One Year Call

Buy Nifty Current Level          (6100-6200)
Stop Loss                              5399(see revised stop loss)
Target                                    11001


Time Period  One Year

revised Stop Loss 5179 (03-02-2011 3.12am

Share Market Basics - Explained

Demat Account Definition

Demat refers to a dematerialised account.

Though the company is under obligation to offer the securities in both physical and demat mode, you have the choice to receive the securities in either mode.

If you wish to have securities in demat mode, you need to indicate the name of the depository and also of the depository participant with whom you have depository account in your application.

It is, however desirable that you hold securities in demat form as physical securities carry the risk of being fake, forged or stolen.

Just as you have to open an account with a bank if you want to save your money, make cheque payments etc, Nowadays, you need to open a demat account if you want to buy or sell stocks.

                                HOW TO OPEN A DEMAT ACCOUNT ?

Opening an individual Demat account is a two-step process: You approach a DP and fill up the Demat account-opening booklet. The Web sites of the NSDL and the CDSL list the approved DPs. You will then receive an account number and a DP ID number for the account. Quote both the numbers in all future correspondence with your DPs.

So it is just like a bank account where actual money is replaced by shares. You have to approach the DPs (remember, they are like bank branches), to open your demat account. Let's say your portfolio of shares looks like this: 150 of Infosys, 50 of Wipro, 200 of HLL and 100 of ACC. All these will show in your demat account. So you don't have to possess any physical certificates showing that you own these shares. They are all held electronically in your account. As you buy and sell the shares, they are adjusted in your account. Just like a bank passbook or statement, the DP will provide you with periodic statements of holdings and transactions.

Is a demat account a must? Nowadays, practically all trades have to be settled in dematerialised form. Although the market regulator, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), has allowed trades of upto 500 shares to be settled in physical form, nobody wants physical shares any more.

So a demat account is a must for trading and investing.

Most banks are also DP participants, as are many brokers.

You can choose your very own DP.

To get a list, visit the NSDL and CDSL websites and see who the registered DPs are.

A broker is separate from a DP. A broker is a member of the stock exchange, who buys and sells shares on his behalf and on behalf of his clients.

A DP will just give you an account to hold those shares.

You do not have to take the same DP that your broker takes. You can choose your own.

Banks are also advantageous because of the number of branches they have. Some banks give the option of opening a Demat account in any branch, while others restrict themselves to a selected set of branches.

Some private banks also provide online access to the Demat account. So, you can check on your holdings, transactions and status of requests through the net banking facility. A broker who acts as a DP may not be able to provide these services.

DEMAT ACCOUNT OPENING COST AND OTHER CHARGES

The cost of opening and holding a Demat account. There are four major charges usually levied on a Demat account: Account opening fee, annual maintenance fee, custodian fee and transaction fee. All the charges vary from DP to DP.

Depending on the DP, there may or may not be an opening account fee. Private banks, such as ICICI Bank, HDFC bank and UTI bank, do not have it. However, players such as Karvy Consultants and the State Bank of India charge it. But most players levy this when you re-open a Demat account, though the Stock Holding Corporation offers a lifetime account opening fee, which allows you to hold on to your Demat account over a long period. This fee is refundable.

Annual maintenance fee: This is also known as folio maintenance charges, and is generally levied in advance.

Custodian fee: This fee is charged monthly and depends on the number of securities (international securities identification numbers – ISIN) held in the account. It generally ranges between Rs. 0.5 to Rs. 1 per ISIN per month.

DPs will not charge custody fee for ISIN on which the companies have paid one-time custody charges to the depository.

Transaction fee: The transaction fee is charged for crediting/debiting securities to and from the account on a monthly basis. While some DPs, such as SBI, charge a flat fee per transaction, HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank peg the fee to he transaction value, subject to a minimum amount.

The fee also differs based on the kind of transaction (buying or selling). Some DPs charge only for debiting the securities while others charge for both. The DPs also charge if your instruction to buy/sell fails or is rejected.

In addition, service tax is also charged by the DPs.

Getting Started on the Stock Market

Stocks can be bought and sold by anybody who has money. Knowing the basics will help people understand how stock trading works despite the process’s own specialized vocabulary. People who have knowledge about stock trading are the ones who are most likely to be successful in the investment industry.
Most stock trading activities are done through an intermediary called a broker. Brokers, who take and execute orders from the investors, can also offer investment advices and analyses to their clients. Such brokers are called full-service brokers and they charge a relatively high commission. The types of brokers that do not offer investment advices to their clients are called discount brokers. Investors who wish to save more money usually hire discount brokers because they charge less commission.
Online trading and broker-assisted trading are two of the most commonly offered services by brokers. There are some brokers who use an Interactive Voice Response System for placing orders via telephones and a Wireless Trading System for making orders via web-enabled cellular phones or other handheld devices.
There are some brokers who use their own proprietary software for placing online orders while some give their website passwords for accessing order departments. Brokers allow their clients to track the stock market movements by offering a variety of charting options. The analysis software provided by brokers may be included in their services either for free or for an extra fee.

Types of Orders

The orders made when buying or selling stocks can be classified into different types. An instruction to buy or sell a stock at the current market price is called a “market order.” This order is usually executed near the quoted price at the time of the order was made. There may be a difference between the actual transaction and the quote if there is some inactive trading of stocks or rapid fluctuation of prices.
An expectation of stock price movements that leads to the interest of buying or selling stocks at a certain price above or below the current price initiates the placing of either a “stop order” or a “limit order.” A stop order instructs the broker to trade at a certain stock price, while a limit order instructs the broker to trade at a specified stock price or something better.
Stop orders, which help in limiting losses and protecting profits, become effective when the market hits the stop price. Because the stocks are traded at market price after they become active, brokers who are given stop orders are allowed to trade above or below the stop price. Limit orders, on the other hand, may not be placed at all even if the market reaches the limit price. The fast movement of the market may not provide enough time to execute the order before the price falls out of the limit price range.
For example, an investor buys a share of Bell Canada Enterprises (BCE) at $50 and put in a stop order of $45. If the BCE stock price falls to $45, the stop order will become effective and the stock will become available at market price. Conversely, if an investor buys BCE for $60 and put in a limit sell, then his stocks will be sold at a profit only when the price rises to that level. The investor can also buy BCE with a limit buy order for $45 to allow him to possibly buy the stock at a price that is less than the current market price. If the price doesn’t fall to the limit buy price, however, the investor cannot buy that stock.
All orders can be placed as either “good ‘til canceled” (GTC) or “day order.” A GTC order will remain in effect until it is canceled but a day order will remain in effect only until the end of the current trading day. Stocks are commonly traded in multiples of 100 that are called “round lots.” Trading other amounts of stocks, which is called an “odd lot,” is also possible. Trading software can handle either type of orders but odd lot orders are considered to be more difficult to fill than round lot orders.

Basic Information about Pink Sheets Stocks

Pink Sheets is an electronic quotation system for many Over-the-Counter (OTC) securities. The name of the system was derived from the color of the paper where the quotes were originally printed on. Nowadays, Pink Sheets publishes quotations on the Internet. Most of the listings on Pink Sheets are penny stocks.
Securities that are less than $5 in value are called penny stocks. Most of the companies listed in the Pink Sheets are those that cannot meet the requirements of other exchanges like NYSE and NASDAQ. Since the Pink Sheets has no listing requirements, companies opt for this kind of system in order to trade penny stocks. Companies with no financial histories can also be listed on the Pink Sheets.
Although the Pink Sheets is not a registered stock exchange, it can list companies that will otherwise be unable to raise capital through stock offerings. It is not regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The Pink Sheets is only accessible by brokers who are licensed by the National Association of Security Dealers (NASD). The brokers are required to follow the regulations set by the NASD while the companies are required to follow the Federal and State security laws.
The stocks listed in the Pink Sheets carry more risks than the stocks which are listed on regulated exchanges like AMEX. A lack of financial data usually indicates that a company may be on the effort of preventing bankruptcy or on the attempt of staying afloat. Some companies just use the Pink Sheets as an intermediate to raise capital while still in the process of becoming listed on regular exchanges.
In order to get listed in the Pink Sheets, companies need to hire broker dealers that will quote the stocks. The only requirement is that the broker has to be a member of the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD). Once they are listed, the companies remain in the Pink Sheets list as long as the stocks are quoted. It is also possible for a stock that no longer exists to stay quoted in the Pink Sheets.
The low cost is the main advantage of buying Pink Sheets securities. Investors who wish to get in on a new company from the beginning are able to pick up stocks for literally pennies. In the event that the company does well and grows, the small initial investment will then pay large dividends.
The main advantage of buying Pink Sheets securities is their low cost. Investors who hope to get in on a new company right at the beginning can pick up stock for literally pennies. In the event that the company does well and grows the small initial investment will pay large dividends.
There is also a very real risk that the company will simply vanish. It will just leave the valueless stock issues behind so investors who are interested in penny stocks listed on the Pink Sheets should be prepared to lose all. Because of that reason, Pink Sheets investments have to represent only a small portion of an overall investment portfolio.
The lack of liquidity in the Pink Sheets listings is another risk that investors need to deal with. Because the volume is generally low and the search for stock buyers is actually difficult in Pink Sheets, a lot of sellers tend to settle for even lower prices just to unload their shares.

Target Hit for nifty call given on Wednesday,

Free Nifty Intraday Tipsssssssssss

For Thrusday 16-12-2010 


Buy Nifty fut dec at  (5910-5920)                Target - 5970-5980

Or


Sale Nifty fut dec at  (5885-5875)               Target - 5845-5825






It;s your own risk, i will not lible for any profit or loss

Book profit on short position